Population forecasts for Australia

New 2024-based population forecasts for Australia have been prepared, and a summary is available in the report here. The forecasts are probabilistic, and therefore include estimates of forecast uncertainty. They indicate that the population of 27.2 million in 2024 is likely to grow to between 29.3 and 32.3 million by 2034, and to between 30.7 and 37.9 million by 2044 (80% uncertainty range).

A summary of forecast assumptions and an overview of the new probabilistic forecasting model are given in the report.

Frequently Asked Questions

A few Frequently Asked Questions and answers about probabilistic population forecasts are available here.