What official population projections or forecasts are available for Australia, States/Territories, and sub-state geographies? It’s not always easy to find these projections online, so I’ve listed publicly available projections below and included links to websites, datasets or publications. These refer to official (i.e., Government-prepared) population projections produced in the last few years (since 2021).
Links below are valid as of 4th June 2025. If I’ve missed anything, or got something wrong, please let me know.
Projections for Australia
Population projections for Australia are published:
by the Australian Bureau of Statistics every five years in their publication Population Projections, Australia,
by the Centre for Population as part of their annual Population Statement (data files) and the Australian Government’s Budget,
as part of Treasury’s Intergenerational Report which is published every few years.
Projections for States and Territories
All State and Territory Governments produce their own population projections for their State or Territory. The latest projections from each jurisdiction are:
New South Wales Government’s population projections for NSW
Victoria in Future population projections for Victoria
Queensland Government Statistician’s Office population projections for Queensland
South Australian Government’s population projections for South Australia
WA Tomorrow forecasts for Western Australia
Tasmanian Government’s population projections for Tasmania
Northern Territory Government’s population projections by Indigenous status for the NT
the Australian Capital Territory Government’s population projections for the ACT
State and Territory projections published by Commonwealth Government include:
ABS State and Territory population projections
Centre for Population State and Territory population projections.
Sub-state projections
Sub-state projections prepared by State and Territory Governments include:
NSW: SA2 and local government area population projections published by the NSW Government
Victoria: SA2, SA3, SA4, Greater Capital City Statistical Areas, local government areas, and major regions, published in Victoria in Future
Queensland: SA2, SA3, SA4, and local government area population projections published by the Queensland Government Statistician’s Office
South Australia: SA2, local government area, and planning region and sub-region population projections published by the South Australian Government
Western Australia: SA2 and local government area forecasts in WA Tomorrow
Tasmania: local government area population projections published by the Tasmanian Government
Northern Territory: SA3 and SA4 area population projections by Indigenous status published by the Northern Territory Government
Australian Capital Territory: suburb (SA2) and district (SA3) population projections published by the ACT Government.
Sub-state projections published by Commonwealth Government include:
ABS capital city and rest of State population projections
Centre for Population capital city and rest of State population projections
Geoscience Australia SA2 and local government area population projections for the whole of Australia published as part of the Digital Atlas of Australia.